Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.988542 3.535757 4.182959 5.012659 6.059334 7.351112 9.090060e+00
2024-10-20 2.245748 2.929136 3.846511 5.201422 7.211401 10.186158 1.513373e+01
2024-10-27 1.807151 2.495542 3.492439 5.101442 7.757624 12.221019 2.092356e+01
2024-11-03 1.637601 2.377495 3.523946 5.532128 9.205037 16.217396 3.242829e+01
2024-11-10 1.463105 2.208144 3.425584 5.704058 10.244831 19.939484 4.620824e+01
2024-11-17 1.345530 2.102906 3.401994 5.988558 11.588398 24.966470 6.793039e+01
2024-11-24 1.204344 1.932525 3.228583 5.936598 12.201250 28.633624 8.995235e+01
2024-12-01 1.104331 1.817068 3.131504 6.010602 13.128776 33.702138 1.242742e+02
2024-12-08 1.015660 1.708447 3.026978 6.040628 13.963199 39.087381 1.699611e+02
2024-12-15 0.963835 1.660258 3.031847 6.317743 15.577567 48.322134 2.591789e+02
2024-12-22 0.882644 1.545158 2.880897 6.187293 15.976480 53.480994 3.389764e+02
2024-12-29 0.823153 1.465360 2.792217 6.192191 16.808407 61.268897 4.741671e+02
2025-01-05 0.746593 1.352236 2.635733 6.046486 17.322373 69.456277 6.844890e+02
2025-01-12 0.701931 1.300952 2.614457 6.282726 19.419280 89.614608 1.315007e+03
2025-01-19 0.641711 1.208170 2.479740 6.156295 20.098522 103.142293 2.128165e+03
2025-01-26 0.625000 1.206236 2.560577 6.702722 23.981427 148.524302 6.264394e+03
2025-02-02 0.592966 1.165769 2.538472 6.921613 26.637850 193.542751 1.754607e+04
2025-02-09 0.570018 1.142635 2.556319 7.284726 30.408959 267.094626 8.187015e+04
2025-02-16 0.532419 1.080669 2.460485 7.218326 31.833842 320.338731 3.400171e+05
2025-02-23 0.504518 1.038417 2.411476 7.312908 34.386923 409.089877 5.437607e+06
2025-03-02 0.477406 0.994928 2.351968 7.351304 36.701056 515.287578 1.873812e+11
2025-03-09 0.462253 0.979010 2.368766 7.706245 41.739606 746.175478 NaN
2025-03-16 0.433518 0.925964 2.268165 7.539032 42.702012 879.375470 NaN